Војна во Украина (исклучиво воена перспектива)

[Gags]

Situation on Chasov Yar front: During the last days Russian Army managed to advance to the edge of Zhovtnevyi district & entered in the central district of the city.

 

[Gags]

Situation on Toretsk front: During the last 48 hours Russian Army advanced again in Zabalka district taking control over the municipal stadium until Lav Tolstoho street. In addition, from a second axis Russian troops reached the intersection of Skachkova & Partyzanska streets at the western part of the district.



Situation on Pokrovsk front: Russian Army took control over the locality of Yuriivka & made new advances north of Zorya.



Situation on Kurakhove front: Russian Army took full control over Nova Illinka & the southeastern part of Berestky.



Situation southwest of Donetsk: Russian Army made new advances north & northeast of Bohoyavlenka & entered in the southern part of Trudove. In addition, Russian forces began advancing west of Antonivka taking control over part of the fortifications east of Illinka.



Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: Ukrainian Army recaptured the locality of Makarivka.

 

[The xx]

 

[Vanlok]

 

[Gags]

Situation on Luhansk front: Russian Army crossed Zherebets river north of Nevs'ke taking control over new positions in the western shore.



Situation north of Bakhmut: Russian Army made new advances south of Orikhovo-Vasylivka & east & south of Hryhorivka (corrections were made at the center of this locality).



Situation on Chasov Yar front: Ukrainian Army continue launching counterattacks south of the city & managed to recapture Mine Nº9 & positions along H-32 road.



Situation on Kurakhove front: Russian Army captured new positions at the eastern part of Berestky.



Situation on Zaporizhia front: Russian Army made new advances west of Novopokrovka towards the outskirts of Mala Tokmachka.

 

[Vanlok]

Автоматски споено мислење: вчера во 10:14

Operation 'Dark Winter' Resumes as Massive Russian Strikes Again Cripple Ukrainian Power Grid

It finally happened—our questions on Russia and Putin’s resoluteness have been answered.

simplicius76.substack.com

Во врска со „дозволата“ за гаѓање руски цели длабоко во РФ.


There’s a lot of things to say about this development.
Firstly: ATACMS have already disappeared from the battlefield, the last usage being recorded something like months ago.
Second: HIMARS have already been used all over Kursk, including on a Russian column some months ago. Both regular HIMARS missiles and ATACMS are fired from the same truck—so this new ‘authorization’ strikes as a little strange.

Third: HIMARS, M270s and German Mars II variants have all been greatly attrited during the Kursk excursion of the past three months to the point that it’s questionable how many units Ukraine even has remaining. It may be a few but not enough to conduct big simultaneous volleys of ATACMS, which—unlike regular HIMARS missiles—can only be fired one at a time per truck.

The announcement comes just as ATACMS stocks have been depleted, with several articles over the past month or so noting this. The same goes for Storm Shadow/Scalp:

Автоматски споено мислење: вчера во 10:15

На крај сега појасни изгледаат офанзивните напори во Курск регионот, каде последниве денови Русите според некои извори имаат солидни загуби пред се во техника и оклоп - ама жестината на офанзивата не запира. Имаат јасна намера да стават крај на тој продор таму на руска територија. Тоа ќе значи една значајна карта помалку, на некои идни преговори (за капитулација)... Од сето видено по се изгледа озбилно се спрема мировен процес, и појасни се и ескалациите од сегашната гарнитура/администрација на САД.


But the NYT article reveals the other real reason for the desperate escalatory behavior:
The Ukrainians hope that they would be able to trade any Russian territory they hold in Kursk for Ukrainian territory held by Russia in any future negotiations.If the Russian assault on Ukrainian forces in Kursk succeeds, Kyiv could end up having little to no Russian territory to offer Moscow in a trade.

Автоматски споено мислење: вчера во 10:20

The new strikes authorization is presumably meant to tide Ukrainian societal morale over for a few months, with perhaps some kind of flashy ‘hit’ somewhere, that will be oversold as “devastating” to Russia, but it’s questionable how much mileage they can get even out of that anymore.

Remember: for the Storm Shadows to be fired “deep” into Russian territory, the F-16s—or whatever platform carrying them—would have to get almost right up to the Russian border, and risk almost certain shoot down by Russian patrol craft, long range AD, etc. The same goes for ATACMS—everyone just assumes it can hit max distance into Voronezh, but to do that the ATACMS would have to be right on the border. They learned the hard way what happens when they try that, as a slew of HIMARS trucks were destroyed not far from the border in the Kursk fiasco.

With stockpiles for both ATACMS, Storm Shadows, and even future-potential Taurus missiles scraping the bottom of the barrel, it’s not expected they could make any real mark.

 

[Vanlok]

 

[Vanlok]

 

[Gags]

Situation on Kursk front:
- At Korenevsky district Russian Army recaptured the forest area south of Kremyanoe.
- At Sudzhansky district Ukrainian Army managed to recapture most of Plekhovo & part of the forest area east of this locality.



Situation on Pokrovsk front: Russian Army captured new positions north of Selydove & began advancing towards the locality of Pustynka.



Situation southwest of Donetsk: During the last 48 hours Russian Army made significant advances north & south of Uspenivka-Illinka urban line. In addition, Russian forces were able to gain a foothold in the warehouses southeast of Yelyzavetivka and advanced slightly in Trudove as well as northeast of Maksymivka.



Situation on Velikaya Novoselovka front: Russian Army made new advances east of Rozdolne.

 

[Klinton]

@Ne_sum_ja Купијанск пенетриран од рускиот пенис како што би рекол @Klinton

А мене ме спомна мора да има пенис во реченицата. Не се вади со мене, не сум ти крив јас, признај си себеси барем.... Не ќе да е до мене.....

 

[Vanlok]