Војна во Украина (исклучиво воена перспектива)
- Креатор на темата Vanlok
- Време на започнување
Lester Freamon
A man of focus, commitment, sheer will...
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Не сум сретнал инфо во последно време дали ги оставаат да си ги соберат лешевите, или се оставени и да скапуваат таму?
Vanlok
deus ex machina
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- 30 мај 2009
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Поназад тој Украинецот вика не, одамна не ги собираат труповите. Тоа во Авдивка, ваљда зависи од локацијата.
The xx
Russia state-affiliated bot. ☑️
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Добро сумирано.
Американската инвестиција накратко така изгледа.
На страна муабетов. Незнам зошто Русија би сакала преговори или пак примирје. Доволно е вака уште 10-20 години. Нека летаат дронови. Генерации ќе поминат реал тајм обука.
Ако се идиоти да се согласат на некои договори со економска или технолошка краткорочна придобивка.
Инаку Украинките веќе пазарени се на запад. Тешко само на мајките и сестрите. Тоа пак новата генерации девојки/вереници/сопруги. Секако освен некој дел, све другото ти се онлифанс генерација.
- Член од
- 14 ноември 2013
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Situation south of Bakhmut: Russian Army advanced north of Klishchiivka retaking part of the forest area adjacent to the railway. So far, no troops entered in the locality.
Situation northwest of Donetsk city: during the last week Ukrainian Army recaptured more areas within Pervomais'ke while Russian Army recaptured some positions north of the adjacent ponds.
Situation north of Bakhmut: Russian Army made significant advances south of Berhovske Reservoir and Yahidne thus aproaching to the road between Khromove and Chasiv Yar. This happened following the important withdrawal during the previous days of Ukrainian Army towards more defensible positions. Moreover, is important to note Russian Army recaptured big part of the lost territory during Ukrainian counteroffensive last June. It would be interesting to see if Russians can exploit the advance in the next days...
Situation northwest of Donetsk city: during the last week Ukrainian Army recaptured more areas within Pervomais'ke while Russian Army recaptured some positions north of the adjacent ponds.
Situation north of Bakhmut: Russian Army made significant advances south of Berhovske Reservoir and Yahidne thus aproaching to the road between Khromove and Chasiv Yar. This happened following the important withdrawal during the previous days of Ukrainian Army towards more defensible positions. Moreover, is important to note Russian Army recaptured big part of the lost territory during Ukrainian counteroffensive last June. It would be interesting to see if Russians can exploit the advance in the next days...
Vanlok
deus ex machina
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The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters Volume 53 Number 3 Volume 53, Number 3 (2023) Autumn Issue Article 4 7-28-2023
A Call to Action: Lessons from Ukraine for the Future Force
Автоматски споено мислење:
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Fwd from @arbat
Rating of Military Leaders: Analytics by Children of Arbat. Army General Surovikin takes sixth place.
His career is a continuous progression, from army commander to the first infantry commander, to heading the Aerospace Forces. After the events in Kharkov, it became clear that the current model of military control has reached its limit. The lack of a unified inter-service command for theater operations led to an extended front line, dispersed forces, and a lack of reserves to gain an advantage when needed. On October 8, 2022, Surovikin was appointed to lead the OGV(s). Its main objectives are to regain strategic initiative for the Russian Armed Forces, prevent the collapse of the existing front line, and disrupt the AFU's counter-offensive. At that time, the enemy had already amassed significant forces (with a 6:1 ratio in some areas) and was attempting to destroy the bridgehead near Kherson. Mobilization in the country was still in progress. Surovikin made a difficult decision: to abandon the bridgehead and destroy the bridges across the Dnieper . The country had not yet recovered from the shock of the events near Kharkov a month ago when news from Kherson struck. Surovikin emphasized that the Russian Armed Forces needed to change their strategic goal: instead of focusing on strikes to gain operational space, they needed to advance beyond the Dnieper and mentally prepare for the enemy to seize the initiative. Surovikin's headquarters anticipated an offensive in the Zaporizhia direction. In order to prevent the enemy from breaking through, it was necessary to engage them in a counter battle (there was already fighting for Bakhmut at that time). This is when the concept of the Bakhmut meat grinder was born: "If we cannot force the enemy to surrender, we will make them expend their human resources." Only a year later, we saw the results of this approach: the summer offensive of the AFU was successfully halted. For shouldering great responsibility, demonstrating courage in action, and possessing keen insight that helped preserve the strength of the Russian Army, Army General Sergei Surovikin earns sixth place in our rating.
Rating of Military Leaders: Analytics by Children of Arbat. Army General Surovikin takes sixth place.
His career is a continuous progression, from army commander to the first infantry commander, to heading the Aerospace Forces. After the events in Kharkov, it became clear that the current model of military control has reached its limit. The lack of a unified inter-service command for theater operations led to an extended front line, dispersed forces, and a lack of reserves to gain an advantage when needed. On October 8, 2022, Surovikin was appointed to lead the OGV(s). Its main objectives are to regain strategic initiative for the Russian Armed Forces, prevent the collapse of the existing front line, and disrupt the AFU's counter-offensive. At that time, the enemy had already amassed significant forces (with a 6:1 ratio in some areas) and was attempting to destroy the bridgehead near Kherson. Mobilization in the country was still in progress. Surovikin made a difficult decision: to abandon the bridgehead and destroy the bridges across the Dnieper . The country had not yet recovered from the shock of the events near Kharkov a month ago when news from Kherson struck. Surovikin emphasized that the Russian Armed Forces needed to change their strategic goal: instead of focusing on strikes to gain operational space, they needed to advance beyond the Dnieper and mentally prepare for the enemy to seize the initiative. Surovikin's headquarters anticipated an offensive in the Zaporizhia direction. In order to prevent the enemy from breaking through, it was necessary to engage them in a counter battle (there was already fighting for Bakhmut at that time). This is when the concept of the Bakhmut meat grinder was born: "If we cannot force the enemy to surrender, we will make them expend their human resources." Only a year later, we saw the results of this approach: the summer offensive of the AFU was successfully halted. For shouldering great responsibility, demonstrating courage in action, and possessing keen insight that helped preserve the strength of the Russian Army, Army General Sergei Surovikin earns sixth place in our rating.
Vanlok
deus ex machina
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Дај ги и претходните места (и последователните, ако ги има), во темата за Русија.Fwd from @arbat
Rating of Military Leaders: Analytics by Children of Arbat. Army General Surovikin takes sixth place.
His career is a continuous progression, from army commander to the first infantry commander, to heading the Aerospace Forces. After the events in Kharkov, it became clear that the current model of military control has reached its limit. The lack of a unified inter-service command for theater operations led to an extended front line, dispersed forces, and a lack of reserves to gain an advantage when needed. On October 8, 2022, Surovikin was appointed to lead the OGV(s). Its main objectives are to regain strategic initiative for the Russian Armed Forces, prevent the collapse of the existing front line, and disrupt the AFU's counter-offensive. At that time, the enemy had already amassed significant forces (with a 6:1 ratio in some areas) and was attempting to destroy the bridgehead near Kherson. Mobilization in the country was still in progress. Surovikin made a difficult decision: to abandon the bridgehead and destroy the bridges across the Dnieper . The country had not yet recovered from the shock of the events near Kharkov a month ago when news from Kherson struck. Surovikin emphasized that the Russian Armed Forces needed to change their strategic goal: instead of focusing on strikes to gain operational space, they needed to advance beyond the Dnieper and mentally prepare for the enemy to seize the initiative. Surovikin's headquarters anticipated an offensive in the Zaporizhia direction. In order to prevent the enemy from breaking through, it was necessary to engage them in a counter battle (there was already fighting for Bakhmut at that time). This is when the concept of the Bakhmut meat grinder was born: "If we cannot force the enemy to surrender, we will make them expend their human resources." Only a year later, we saw the results of this approach: the summer offensive of the AFU was successfully halted. For shouldering great responsibility, demonstrating courage in action, and possessing keen insight that helped preserve the strength of the Russian Army, Army General Sergei Surovikin earns sixth place in our rating.
Прегледај го приврзокот 397845
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- 14 ноември 2013
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Situation south of Avdivka: The information is quite dynamic on this axis, which has gone unnoticed since the beginning of this new Russian offensive against the Ukrainian stronghold. While the Russian army focused on reducing the encirclement of the city, even with limited advances from the north and south, other troops have been working on the 2014 Ukrainian defense line, destroying key defense points using artillery, drones and tunnel bombs. This has allowed a weakening of the defenses that has been exploited by Russian tanks to penetrate this line and shift the fighting for the first time to the Promka industrial complex.
There is still no confirmation of the capture of these positions, badly damaged by the bombardments in these years of conflict, but it is not surprising that the Russian army has decided to assault frontally such a fortified city without having consummated the encirclement. Many ex-Wagner forces are fighting in this area, with enough experience to penetrate defenses like the ones we saw in Bakhmut, which ended up being taken without the need to complete the encirclement, it is very possible that the same happens with Avdivka if the Russians manage to progress from the south and reach the first urban areas.
There is still no confirmation of the capture of these positions, badly damaged by the bombardments in these years of conflict, but it is not surprising that the Russian army has decided to assault frontally such a fortified city without having consummated the encirclement. Many ex-Wagner forces are fighting in this area, with enough experience to penetrate defenses like the ones we saw in Bakhmut, which ended up being taken without the need to complete the encirclement, it is very possible that the same happens with Avdivka if the Russians manage to progress from the south and reach the first urban areas.
Vanlok
deus ex machina
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Да навистина делува како да не се брзаат да го затворат котелот. Ама интересен факт е дека скоро да не ги употребуваат резервите. Украинците очекувано - бутаат резерви да го одложат неизбежното. Следствено имат снемано на други места, ги подбрале кај Бахмут.
Автоматски споено мислење:
И ова:
Vanlok
deus ex machina
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Update on the ongoing Battle of Avdeevka, now with a PowerPoint map that I can easily update.
The Russians have consolidated their positions on the northeast and southern high ground in the last two weeks and continued to claw forwards across the board.
I've marked key intervisibility lines on the map with solid lines and the (very approximate) Russian front line with a dashed line - although I will take pains to remind the reader that this "front line" is by no means a solid line of trenches a-la WWI and more like an imaginary line drawn between forward outposts. Most forces currently "engaged" are located well to the rear in the built-up strongpoints (marked with circles) or even farther back. Notable changes in the last two weeks, marked with numbered stars:
1. The Russians have seized control of the town of Stepove north of Avdeevka and started wrapping their front line around the north side of the AKHZ industrial zone. Even seizing the first line of buildings in the zone will allow them to push on to attack the "North Shield Line," an intervisibility line overlooking the one remaining Main Supply Route (MSR) running into town. If they consolidate on that line, it will become extremely difficult to supply the Avdeevka garrison.
2. The Russians pushed into a small industrial district (marked SID) on the south side of town yesterday, seizing somewhere between half and 80% of it as of the last reports I've seen. Securing this area will allow them to outflank the defensive complex at the "Royal Hunt" recreation area (marked RH).
3. The Russians have expanded their zone of control beyond the "Terrikon" slag heap from the AKHZ plant and seized some nearby terrain, effectively turning the Terrikon from a front-line fighting position into a secure base of operations near the Ukrainian stronghold in the AKHZ.
4. Russian troops have pushed the front line forward from the South IV Line and established a forward position near the town of Severnoe in the south. If they can seize that town they can then push on to the "South Shield Line," which overlooks the MSR at close range. Taking this line will also make it extremely difficult to take Avdeevka - taking both shield lines will effectively surround any remaining garrison forces, as they would have to break out along the MSR under effective direct fire from Russian heavy weapons.
The Russians have fought off determined and large-scale Ukrainian counterattacks to get to this point. The scale of Ukrainian efforts to retain the town can be seen in their sending elite units to try to stabilize the situation - first the 47th Brigade of Hundred Days fame and lately the 3rd Assault Brigade "Azov," which has led to a considerable deterioration of their position around Bakhmut where it was formerly operating. Contra to Ukrainian claims, the Russian assault force is only division-sized (quite comparable to the Ukrainian force in and around the town) and I am unaware of them having rotated any of the units that stepped off the attack a month ago for reconstruction due to combat losses.
The obvious military move would be to withdraw the garrison once one of the Shield Lines is taken to avoid an encirclement, although knowing the Ukrainians they may opt to see the place besieged and then try to relieve it a-la Stalingrad. We all know how that turned out, so I wouldn't call that a wise course of action.