Војна во Украина (исклучиво воена перспектива)

Eisenhorn

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Изгледа се преценија, сакаа ем брзо да завршат работа ем да не уништат инфраструктира.
Па беа на потпис пред завршување но долета Борис Џонсон.............
 

INDIJANEC123

Женкар, Илуватар
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За некој ден ќе има напад на Херсон, 60к Украинци се групираат во Миколаев.
Можно е да го завземат, со премногу жртви ама има шанси.
Немаат повеќе од 25к русите таму.
 

jamajka

mode: Calm
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The news of Ukrainian forces amassing a 60k grouping to take on Kherson and Novaya Kakhovka is more than likely a feint to conceal the true plans of the Ukrainian command.

Whenever the Ukrainian forces have faced layered defensive formations of the Russian Army, they became bogged down in heavy fighting with little forward advance.

This is evident from the fighting in and around the Andreevka bridgehead and at Davydov Brod. This is also clear from the Ukrainian experience of assaulting Krasny Liman, where the heroic defence of the vastly outnumbered BARS-16 volunteer battalion of the Russian forces caused the Ukrainian army to lose its momentum and initiative, resulting in the stalemate along the Svatovo front and in a pullback of Ukrainian units and the loss of territory in the Kremennaya sector, along the Zherebets river boundary.

It is only where Ukraine has been able to exploit the sparsely (and lightly) defended front lines in the Balakleya-Kupyansk-Izyum triangle and to attack with mobile units at the junctures between Russian units that the Ukrainian army has had success.

This is also precisely what happened in the Krivoy Rog-northeastern Kherson direction. Just as on the Kharkov front, the area northeast of Dudchany, in the Vysokopolye-Novovorontsovka-Dudchany triangle was sparsely and lightly defended, as all the attention of the strained Russian defensive lines was focused on the defence of the Andreevka-Davydov Brod incursion.

With Ukraine exploiting this advantage—an advantage that existed solely because of Ukraine's numerical superiority—the Russian army pulled back, vacating the salient north of the Davydov Brod-Dudchany line. The pullback made the porous front line solid, and the Ukrainian advance stalled, with the Russian forces even attempting limited counter-maneuvers in the direction of Sukhoi Stavok.

This has been the story of the Ukrainian counter-offensive operations: Exploiting Russian lack of personnel and attacking at junctures between understaffed units using mobile groups—a tactic that was honed as long ago as during the first limited Ukrainian counter-offensive to the north of Kharkov earlier in this conflict. In encounters with layered Russian Army defences, the Ukrainian forces have sustained significant, painful, and, in the long term, unsustainable casualties and equipment losses.

Why would Ukraine attempt a massive 60k offensive operation with an army that is not yet ready for such an adventure (if it ever will be)? Two possible reasons come to mind: (1) because it is pushed to do so by its overseas masters, or (2) because it is a feint intended to conceal a different maneuver altogether. While we cannot dismiss the former, nor can we disregard the urgency of trying a critical move now, before the Russian mobilization is complete, the Ukrainians (and their sponsors) have shown themselves to be finer tacticians than many expected.

Just as the Andreevka bridgehead incursion was paired up with a rapid advance in the Kharkov theatre (exploiting weaknesses, rather than blindly smashing against strengths) and, eventually, the "toad-leap" assault in the Berislav direction (toward Dudchany, in the northeastern Kherson Oblast)—both of which were vastly more successful than anything that Ukraine achieved with the Andreevka-Davydov Brod bridgehead—we can expect that any demonstration of a massive counter-offensive against Kherson (especially one that is being telegraphed so obviously) will be accompanied by a smarter tactical move elsewhere.

That elsewhere is, in my opinion, the Zaporozhye theatre, with an attempt at a deep strike through to the heartland of the Russian territory north of the Azov sea. Frankly, it would not matter even if the assault does not penetrate all that far—the morale and media impact of such a raid in the direction of Melitopol or Berdyansk (no need even to reach them) would be a significant victory for Ukraine. It would also critically threaten the entire Kherson grouping of the Russian Army without any need for a wasteful frontal assault against the layered Russian defences in Kherson—layers that do not exist anywhere to the same extent along the Orekhov-Gulyai Pole line of the front.

For that reason, Russia must watch the Zaporozhye theatre carefully and not fall into the trap of driving all available reserves to Kherson—like it was done, to some extent, before the crisis along the Kharkov front. Mistakes must not be repeated, and, with the nearing completion of the Russian mobilization, it may be Ukraine's turn to make mistakes in a rush to secure a significant victory before the 300k-strong Russian force floods the Ukrainian theatre.

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‼Fierce battles at Artemovsk and the shame of British intelligence
▪British intelligence announced the capture of Experienced and Ivangrad by Russian troops in the DPR.
▪“Parts of the 2nd army corps of the pro-Russian militia of the Luhansk region seem to have occupied the settlements of Opytnoye and Ivangrad south of Bakhmut,” the official statement says.
▪Recall that yesterday at the headquarters of the Terodefense of the DPR they announced the capture of Experienced and Ivangrad.
▪At the same time, the leadership of the assault forces stated that heavy fighting continues for Experienced (that is, it has not yet been taken ).
⁉It turns out that intelligence reports published by the British Ministry of Defense are rumors stupidly taken from social networks without any verification.
What is really happening these days at the front near Artyomovsk:

▪Contrary to the fake about the withdrawal of troops from Artyomovsk, fearing the collapse of the front, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are transferring reserves.
▪13 ours took from. Ivangrad and approached the southeastern outskirts of Artyomovsk . APU retreated to with. Kleshcheevka .
▪The APU opnik near Nikolaevka was eliminated, the section of the road between Otradovka and Nikolaevka 2 was taken under full control .
▪The enemy is now actively hitting Ivangrad and Vesela Dolina with artillery , trying to delay the advance of private traders.
▪In Opytny, the battalion of the 58th motorized infantry brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which has lost up to 2/3 of its personnel, is holding positions near the art school on Kievskaya Street.
▪A quick breakthrough of private traders made it possible to wedge into the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near the Bakhmut dam and Sosyura Street. In the area of the Bakhmut nursery and n. Yagodnoye village (15 km to our positions) additional forces of the 26th artillery brigade were deployed, according to Military Chronicle.
▪The 125th Territorial Defense Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, entrenched in the area of the Mariupol cemetery in Artyomovsk, suffers heavy losses from fire. According to radio intercepts, there are foreign mercenaries in its composition.
 
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Eisenhorn

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Артилериска припрема и офанзива на Украинската војска.


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Автоматски споено мислење:

ЕДИТ:


Ланцет уништува Украински С-300. Може да се види и дека Украинците испалуваат Стингер/Стрела но дронот проаѓа.
 
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Кинжал во акција

⚡ Предупредувањето за воздушен напад бешр прогласено речиси низ цела Украина. Неверојатно, сирените за аларм се огласија речиси истовремено во сите области. Експлозии одекнаа во регионот на Киев.
- Уништен е клучен објект во околината на Киев. Локалните власти потврдија ракетен напад врз цел во регионот на Киев.
Самиот ракетен удар се случи пред објавувањето на тревога за воздушен напад, што може да навестува употреба на хиперсоничниот ракетен систем Кинжал.
 

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Vanlok

deus ex machina
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Мислам дека нападот на фронтот во Херсон не е лажњак/феинт. Тука Русите го имаат единствениот продор што го имаат на левата страна на Дњепр, база за одење накај Николаив и Одеса. Овде ова ако го земат и се укопаат Украинците ќе биде многу тешко за Русите да продрат пак без голема суперирност во бројки и техника.

Ќе нападнат и накај Запорожје секако, имаат доволно војска за напад на двете месте. Така ќе отежнат и носење на резерви на Русите, нема да бидат сигурни каде да се фокусираат. Но Керсон не го даваат никако, тоа ќе биде и стратешко потфрлање, и медиумско. Погоре кај Лиман тој реон изгуби на стратешка важност уште кога Русите запреа со нападите кон Славјанск/Краматорск, Лиман е важен заради продолжување натаму ама не и сам по себе. Сватове е друга приказна.
 
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During two hundred and thirtieth third day of combats Russian Army forces began advancing inside the industrial area east of Bakhmut city, taking control over half of Patrisa Lumumby street. In addition, troops reached forest hill from dacha area.

 

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