TL-DR Недостатокот од шрапнели во цистерните на возот (и нивото на штетата на нив), укажува дека не се работи за проектил/ракета. Исто и колата од спротивен правец помина низ експлозијата и продолжи да вози, да имаше шрапнели немаше да има шанси да останат живи во таа експлозија. Дрон е исто исклучен од равенка, пошто не може да носи толку експлозив. Така да остануваат две опции, минирање под мостот - или камион со експлозиви. Работат на случајот, ама на крај и не е толку битно како, важен е моментот на ескалација... Кој веројатно ќе повлече ескалација од другата страна, останува да видиме.
Fishman
⁇⁇ On the cause of the explosion on the Crimean bridge: analysis of materials from the place of the attack
An official investigation into the attack on the bridge over the Kerch Strait has already begun: it is likely that the first results will be announced after a while. In the meantime, we analyzed the data of open sources and tried to assume what could have been the cause of what happened.
武Judging by
video, the explosion was very high power. Someone even suggested that what happened was an air strike. However, the outdoor lighting supports are not just not bent, but not even burned. The cameras on them also stand whole. All this looks extremely uncharacteristic for an alleged missile attack.
武In the frame you can see
leaving the explosion cloud car: it was not just not planted with an explosion, but even stayed on the go. Traces
the scatter of striking elements who from such a distance would not leave a living place on cars
also absent. Tanks on the railway bridge damaged, but almost did not crumple.
武In the photo
visible a span that fell into the Kerch Strait, on which there are no craters. But the pipes with cables walking along the side surfaces look torn and as if cut.
What conclusions can be drawn?
The nature of the damage, the absence of traces of the striking elements and funnels allows almost
drop the version of the arrival of the rocket. The hit of the drone is completely unbelievable due to its small combat unit.
It looks more believable
undermining the charges set below : this explains the remaining almost unharmed tanks, cars and lighting supports. Open source data does not reliably state whether it was saboteurs or marine drones.
Detonation
mined truck also looks possible. The cumulative charge could be set in the truck and overlapped inside the trailer so that the directional jet literally cuts the load-bearing structure. This explains both sparks that hit the frame and a curled steel beam.
To more accurately determine the causes of the explosion, additional objective evidence from the scene of the explosion is needed.
But one thing is clear for sure: behind the terrorist attack, the destruction of the Russian infrastructure and the death of civilians is the Ukrainian state with its power and civilian structures.
#Kerch #Crimea #Russia
@rybar
О причине взрыва на Крымском мосту: анализ материалов с места теракта Официальное расследование теракта на мосту через Керченскиј пролив уже началось: вполне веројатно, через некоторое времја будут об'јавлены первые результаты. А пока мы проанализировали данные открытых источников и попытались...
t.me