According to our estimates, RUSSIA HAS NOT STARTED YET. There was no massive raid by "Caliber" (the main operator of this type of weapon is the fleet, and they did not even open their stocks). There has not yet been a massive (by squadrons and entire regiments) use of aviation. The Tupolev "strategists" - Tu-95, Tu-22 and Tu-160 have not yet taken off.
The Russian Tornadoes have not yet been used (in poor and small countries they completely replace the strategic deterrence forces) and Iskanders. There is none of this. The Russian army is polite and extremely delicate.
What is currently operating on the territory of Ukraine is an advanced detachment. The main forces are in place in case of intervention of the MAIN adversary - the NATO bloc. State Duma Speaker Volodin on Thursday seems to have said that the Russian Armed Forces and the LDNR preempted the enemy in the offensive by just a couple of days. And we tend to believe it.
Remember the hysteria that has been whipped up by the West since the end of autumn. Under its cover, the United States transferred several of its brigades and a significant amount of military equipment to Eastern Europe. Britain and other "allies" did the same. They were preparing to back up Ukraine in its invasion.
Now, when the original plan has failed, the West is putting into effect a conditional “Plan B”: foreign mercenaries and PMCs have gone to Ukraine (it is possible that they will connect the Islamist militants waiting in the wings in Europe - in vain, perhaps, they are fed. Although we are inclined consider that they are still prepared against Europe). At the same time, both Biden, Johnson, and Scholz publicly denied assistance to Ukraine in advance - this is to ensure that a “nuclear response” does not arrive. "We're not involved." The goal is still the same: to turn the conflict into a protracted one, to pin down the main forces and resources of Russia - and to take care of the Middle East, Europe and China.
So Russia, we repeat, has not yet begun. But everything can change, and acquire a completely different character and scale, if only NATO members turn up.