Vanlok
deus ex machina
- Член од
- 30 мај 2009
- Мислења
- 27.695
- Поени од реакции
- 37.056
Според мене, забуна (веројатно намерна) е тезата дека реченицата на Ушаков „предлогот е прифатлив“ се однесува на било што освен предлогот за средба Путин - Трамп каде повеќе ќе се разговара за билатералните односи РФ - САД, отколку за војната во Украина.
Овде долу (помеѓу другото) имате детално излагање од Ушаков пренесено од ТАСС.
simplicius76.substack.com
Извадоци:
Putin and Trump allegedly made plans to meet, but rumors suggest Trump’s agreement is contingent on Putin also meeting Zelensky, whereas Putin has just stated again—unequivocally—that a Zelensky meeting is “very far away”, given that many conditions would first have to be met.
Trump, afterwards, quickly denied the Zelensky claim, throwing even more confusion into the mix. Putin aide Ushakov tried to clear some of it up.
Others now believe the Putin-Trump meeting will again focus more on US-Russian bilateral relations, rather than specifically on the Ukraine war. As always to front-load the information field, other outlets streamed out all sorts of ancillary rumors, including that Russia has agreed to an ‘air truce’ as a kind of gesture of goodwill, which would put a stop to both drone and missile strikes against Ukraine now carried out nightly.
Though the likelihood is high that most such rumors are fake, it would not be a particularly unrealistic maneuver for Russia in this case. It’s a very low cost way to signal political goodwill while simultaneously restocking drones and missiles for a brief period. Not striking Ukraine for a week or two would not have major effect on the overall timeline of Ukraine’s military incapacitation, but would allow Russia to replenish stocks so that when the ceasefire inevitably ‘breaks down’, Russia can resume with another major round of hefty attacks without digging too deeply into stockpiles.
We can understand the latest impetus for another big PR summit as follows: Trump needed a way to rescue himself from writing checks his mouth can’t cash. His blustery sanctions “deadline” is coming up, and after crunching the numbers and toeing the waters, he realized it’s not going to work out the way he planned.
Even India began resisting in ‘alarming’ ways, highlighting a critical risk to US-Indian relations:
It’s difficult to take Trump’s sincerity seriously, though, given that his admin just posted a new bulletin which names Russia as an ‘extraordinary threat’ to the United States:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-she...-by-the-government-of-the-russian-federation/
Both sides strive to string along their own politically expedient interests; in Russia’s case, it’s important to convey the savor of peace-seeking and political agreeability while continuing to fulfill geopolitical and military imperatives; in the US’ case, it’s about up-keeping Trump’s aura of power and leadership, both for his own ego’s sake, and to placate political opponents, critics, and neocons alike who seek either a ‘tougher’ stance on Russia, or at least the ending of the war on terms favorable to Ukraine and the Western deep state—which is to say, an indefinite ceasefire which allows Ukraine military continuity, to restock and rebuild for an eventual round two.
The only dash of hope to the contrary of the above, rather pessimistic, appraisal was Rubio’s adjacent statement that the US has finally begun to “better understand” the contours of Russia’s chief demands
That said, Ushakov’s comment that the US has made some offers ‘acceptable’ to Russia is interesting, though this may pertain to more the bilateral US-Russian rapprochement rather than SMO-specific concessions.
One could reasonably argue that part of the new upswell in negotiations fever has something to do with the fact that three or four major Ukrainian cities—depending how you count them—are close to being checkmated: Pokrovsk-Mirnograd, Konstantinovka, and Kupyansk, with perhaps Seversk not far behind. If their fronts collapse at close intervals, it could spell major political doom in Ukraine, a situation which understandably requires rescue by diplomatic means, as we’re seeing now.
One thing is for certain, if Trump and Putin meet, Trump will no longer enjoy the excuse of not understanding Russian demands—he and his administration have played dumb for too long when it comes to that. Putin will relay his demands as directly as possible, with no more middlemen or telephone games—and Trump will lose his cover of ‘blissful ignorance’, and will be forced to act decisively against Zelensky and Ukraine, if he actually wants to move the needle toward ending the conflict.
Има и куп воени анализи за моменталната состојба на фронтот, па ко воли нек`изволи што рекле Србите:
simplicius76.substack.com
Егзекуција на дезертери и на заробеници, нацистите редовно го прават тоа.
Овде долу (помеѓу другото) имате детално излагање од Ушаков пренесено од ТАСС.
Negotiations Fever Strikes Again as Trump's "Deadline" Hits Midnight
Another week, another new ‘peace summit’ shrouded in the spume of uncertainties, exaggerations, illusions and delusions alike.
simplicius76.substack.com
Извадоци:
Putin and Trump allegedly made plans to meet, but rumors suggest Trump’s agreement is contingent on Putin also meeting Zelensky, whereas Putin has just stated again—unequivocally—that a Zelensky meeting is “very far away”, given that many conditions would first have to be met.
Trump, afterwards, quickly denied the Zelensky claim, throwing even more confusion into the mix. Putin aide Ushakov tried to clear some of it up.
Others now believe the Putin-Trump meeting will again focus more on US-Russian bilateral relations, rather than specifically on the Ukraine war. As always to front-load the information field, other outlets streamed out all sorts of ancillary rumors, including that Russia has agreed to an ‘air truce’ as a kind of gesture of goodwill, which would put a stop to both drone and missile strikes against Ukraine now carried out nightly.
Though the likelihood is high that most such rumors are fake, it would not be a particularly unrealistic maneuver for Russia in this case. It’s a very low cost way to signal political goodwill while simultaneously restocking drones and missiles for a brief period. Not striking Ukraine for a week or two would not have major effect on the overall timeline of Ukraine’s military incapacitation, but would allow Russia to replenish stocks so that when the ceasefire inevitably ‘breaks down’, Russia can resume with another major round of hefty attacks without digging too deeply into stockpiles.
We can understand the latest impetus for another big PR summit as follows: Trump needed a way to rescue himself from writing checks his mouth can’t cash. His blustery sanctions “deadline” is coming up, and after crunching the numbers and toeing the waters, he realized it’s not going to work out the way he planned.
Even India began resisting in ‘alarming’ ways, highlighting a critical risk to US-Indian relations:
As such, it’s probable that Trump needed a way to rescue himself from his own self-imposed ‘deadline’ trap and the way to do that was to generate another spectacle that could be sold as “major progress” by verbal-equilibrists like Marco Rubio.
It’s difficult to take Trump’s sincerity seriously, though, given that his admin just posted a new bulletin which names Russia as an ‘extraordinary threat’ to the United States:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-she...-by-the-government-of-the-russian-federation/
Both sides strive to string along their own politically expedient interests; in Russia’s case, it’s important to convey the savor of peace-seeking and political agreeability while continuing to fulfill geopolitical and military imperatives; in the US’ case, it’s about up-keeping Trump’s aura of power and leadership, both for his own ego’s sake, and to placate political opponents, critics, and neocons alike who seek either a ‘tougher’ stance on Russia, or at least the ending of the war on terms favorable to Ukraine and the Western deep state—which is to say, an indefinite ceasefire which allows Ukraine military continuity, to restock and rebuild for an eventual round two.
The only dash of hope to the contrary of the above, rather pessimistic, appraisal was Rubio’s adjacent statement that the US has finally begun to “better understand” the contours of Russia’s chief demands
That said, Ushakov’s comment that the US has made some offers ‘acceptable’ to Russia is interesting, though this may pertain to more the bilateral US-Russian rapprochement rather than SMO-specific concessions.
One could reasonably argue that part of the new upswell in negotiations fever has something to do with the fact that three or four major Ukrainian cities—depending how you count them—are close to being checkmated: Pokrovsk-Mirnograd, Konstantinovka, and Kupyansk, with perhaps Seversk not far behind. If their fronts collapse at close intervals, it could spell major political doom in Ukraine, a situation which understandably requires rescue by diplomatic means, as we’re seeing now.
One thing is for certain, if Trump and Putin meet, Trump will no longer enjoy the excuse of not understanding Russian demands—he and his administration have played dumb for too long when it comes to that. Putin will relay his demands as directly as possible, with no more middlemen or telephone games—and Trump will lose his cover of ‘blissful ignorance’, and will be forced to act decisively against Zelensky and Ukraine, if he actually wants to move the needle toward ending the conflict.
Има и куп воени анализи за моменталната состојба на фронтот, па ко воли нек`изволи што рекле Србите:
Negotiations Fever Strikes Again as Trump's "Deadline" Hits Midnight
Another week, another new ‘peace summit’ shrouded in the spume of uncertainties, exaggerations, illusions and delusions alike.
simplicius76.substack.com
Автоматски споено мислење:
Егзекуција на дезертери и на заробеници, нацистите редовно го прават тоа.
Последно уредено:
