Војна во Украина (исклучиво воена перспектива)

Vanlok

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Russian forces are poised to make another large-scale broad-fronted attack across the entire front:

In the coming Days/Weeks the entire Front will be activated from our side. In the coming hours the Regrouping and Rotation along the front will be completed. As already happened this morning in the Avdeevka area. And then our Troops began Offensive Operations again. This will happen in a timely manner from Zaporozhye to Kharkov. Now the enemy is exhausted and forced to jump from A to B. The Meat Grinder will start up at full speed shortly.
This was followed by reports from the Ukrainian side that the Sumy border is getting hotter and hotter:



In light of this, large new echelons of equipment were spotted in Vologda, Russia headed to the northern front, sporting the new tactical markings:


The T-80BVM Obr. 2022 have the code 133 painted on their mudguards, which means they likely belong to Russia's 4th Guards Tank Division, 1st Guards Tank Army, Moscow (Western) Military District. 26 May 2024 Vologda, Vologda Oblast
And this is just a portion of the recent echelons seen being sent to the front elsewhere days ago:


And finally, if you watched the end of the Zelensky presentation posted at the outset of this report, you’d note that he reveals that Russia is building a sizable force “90km northwest of Kharkov”. This would put that force precisely opposite Sumy, slightly to its east:





This may be the first time Zelensky has openly declared Russia’s intention to strike in Sumy region, which means that time is likely nigh.

And lastly, in light of this, there is now the following very interesting report:

For the first time since the withdrawal in August last year, Mi-24 attack helicopters and multi-purpose Mi-8s of the Russian Army Aviation were deployed to the territory of the Baranovichi military airfield near Minsk.
#Belarus
That being said, I’m not sure what that means, exactly, given that that airfield is far to the west of Belarus and not concomitant with a prospective Sumy incursion—or so it would seem.



But it could simply be Russia ‘loading the deck’ and getting all the old positions ready for combat for a variety of future incursions in different directions.



By the way, there was some chatter from concern trolls or doomsayers that Russia has gotten “bogged down” in Kharkov and that UA has even managed to retake a tiny bit of land near Liptsy. The fact is, this is all according to plan thus far because Russia’s chief aim for now is not to retake much land up there but to do precisely what is being done—get Ukraine to redeploy mass amounts of reserves so they can be ground down there while thinning lines everywhere else and allowing Russian forces to bear down with disproportionate numbers on Ukrainian defenders in other key areas.

It’s like the old feint maneuver: you dash out aggressively while making a lot of noise to draw out your opponent, then quickly dig in and let him impale himself on your defensive bulwarks as he over-eagerly believes he’s “driving you out”. It’s the same tactic in stirring up a hornet’s nest to bring them out of hiding only for the exterminator to be lying in wait. This is called the rhythm and tempo of combat. Russia is dancing all over NATO’s dimwitted command at the moment, nimbly advancing, resetting, defending with the ballon of a ballerina. NATO dimwits simply can’t wrap their heads around it and, judging by their “analysis” seen decorating the latrine stalls of social media, they’re capable of interpreting only the straightforward, one dimensional, telegraphed tactical actions like “attack from point A to B and capture the objective”. They don’t have the instinct for multilevel planning and therefore can’t possibly grasp the strategic throughline of the ongoing Kharkov operations.



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може да има нешто од Белорусија пак. Имаа скоро состанок Путин и Лукашенко околу овие работи изгледа.
 

The xx

Russia state-affiliated bot. ☑️
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може да има нешто од Белорусија пак. Имаа скоро состанок Путин и Лукашенко околу овие работи изгледа.
Доволно е да ги држат под неизвесност додека пробијат на некое друго место, оневозможувајќи да праќаат засилувања.
 
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Situation on northeastern front: Russian Army expanded the buffer zone west of Kyslivka along the railway. In addition troops made new advances around Berestove and northwest of Novoselivske.

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Situation on Luhansk front: during the last two days Russian Army reactivated the axis of Karmazynivka & Stel'makhivka making some advances there.

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Situation on Seversk front: During the last three days Russian Army managed to enter in the center of Bilohorivka. However, its is premature to talk about the full Russian recapture of the locality as the western hills continue under the control of Ukrainian Army.

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Situation north and west of Avdivka: After the capture of Umaske, Russian Army made advances north of the Orlivka-Umanske line in the last 48 hours. In addition, Russian forces advanced west of Soloviove and east and northeast of Novookeksandrivka where Russians have not yet managed to enter. On the other hand, Ukrainian Army managed to retake some positions along the railway.

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Situation southwest of Donetsk: Russian Army restarted the advances west of Solodke in the direction of Vodyane.

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Situation on Velikonovoselkovskaya front: During the last three days Russian Army made small advances in the southern parts of Urozhaine. On the othern hand, Ukrainian Army retreated from big parts of Staromaiorske & only controls now 30% of the locality.

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Situation on Luhansk front: Russian Army continue making small gains at Karmazynivka axis.

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Situation east of Chasov Yar: During the last 48 hours Russian Army took control over the trenches northwest of Bohdanivka taking control over a series of trenches in this axis.

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Situation north and west of Avdivka: Russian Army continue advancing north of Orlivka-Umanske line. In addition, troops began advancing towards Sokil from the northern axis.

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Situation northwest of Donetsk city: During the last week Russian Army managed to capture the southern dachas between Netailove and Pervomaiske taking the northern ravine completely.

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Situation on Velikonovoselkovskaya front: During the last five days Russian Army made new advances in the northern part of Staromaiorske.

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Situation on northeastern front: From Kharkov axis Ukrainian Army managed to recapture a series of positions northwest of Lyptsi following the arrival of reinforcements.

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Situation on Velikonovoselkovskaya front: During the last hours Russian Army managed to secure the southern and central parts of Staromaiorske. Ukrainian Army retreat from the remaining part of the locality under its control and troops are located now in the warehouses north of it.

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Situation on northeastern front: From Chuhuiv axis Russian Army managed to capture the Volchansky agregatny zavod factory inside the town of Vovchansk.

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Situation west of Avdivka and northwest of Donetsk city: During the last three days Russian Army made new advances west of Semenivka & northwest of Orlivka; and north and southeast of Novopokrovs'ke. In addition, troops began advancing north of Karlovske Reservoir from Netailove.

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Situation on Luhansk front: Russian Army continue the pressure along the frotnline and managed to capture some positions southeast of Novoselivske. Clashes with Ukrainian Army continue south of Berestove, which is practically under Russian control.

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Situation north & west of Avdivka: Russian Army continues to advance along the Netailovo-Umanske line. On the other hand, the fighting has already moved to the first houses of Novookeksandrivka, near the source of the Bychok River. Some positions were taken by Russian forces on the eastern and southern outskirts of the locality.

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Vanlok

deus ex machina
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Автоматски споено мислење:


As it became known a few hours earlier, within the framework of the 16th and largest ‘package’ of military-technical assistance (13.3 billion Swedish kronor), the Swedish Defence Ministry announced the delivery and integration of ASC-890 aircraft into the air defence system of the AFU. Swedish defence announced the delivery and integration of a pair of ASC-890 ASC-890 long-range radar detection and control aircraft equipped with PS-890 ‘Erieye’ high-energy 2-sided AESA radars, capable of operating in both air-to-air and surface radar reconnaissance modes with the ability to detect SAM launchers and illumination radars, as well as SLBM launchers.

Functioning in the decimetre S-band, the 400 receiving and transmitting modules of the PS-890 AFAR radars provide detection of air targets with a RCS of 3 square metres at a distance of about 350 km, while targets with a RCS of 0.02 square metres (equivalent to strategic cruise missiles X-101) at a distance of about 110 km.

Thus, the PS-890 radar operators of the ASC-890 aircraft will be able to issue target designations to NASAMS, SAMP-T, IRIS-T SLM and Patriot PAC-3MSE air defence control points to intercept X-101, X-69, Onyx and X-59MK cruise missiles beyond the radio horizon via secure radio channels of the Link-16 tactical network.

Furthermore, these AWACS aircraft can provide targeting guidance to F-16AM crews to use AIM-120D long-range air-to-air missiles against our tactical aircraft operating outside the range of the obsolete AN/APG-66(V)2 airborne radars installed on the F-16AM. Thus, the enemy will be able to employ the AIM-120D even without engaging the electronic jamming targeting mode.

This means that even a pair of this type of aircraft can increase the anti-missile potential of the AFU's mixed air defence brigades by an order of magnitude.

Ground objects such as the Iskander-M or 5P85SM-2 launchers of the S-400 systems can be detected at a distance of about 230-250 kilometres, after which the ATACMS missile systems can be tasked with target designation.

Consequently, the key task of the Russian air force and air defence forces is to destroy ASC-890 ASW aircraft in advance as soon as they are deployed in their bases the Ukrainian theater.

Once on the air, defeat can be carried out by 40N6 and 9M82MD/MV anti-aircraft guided missiles of S-400 and S-300V4 systems at a distance of 380 - 400 km.






 
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Situation on Zaporizhia front: During the last 24 hours Russian Army managed to made advances for the first time in months in the axis of Nesteryanka & Myrne.

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Situation north and west of Avdivka: Russian Army continue advancing west of Semenivka. The front line is levelling out in this area. In addition, Russian forces took control over new forest belt at the eastern outskirts of Sokil.

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Situation east of Chasov Yar: A recent video showed an attempted landing by Russian forces on the other side of the channel. The fate of these soldiers is still unknown, but all indications are that the landing failed. On the other hand, Russian army took a large part of Kalinina. However, it is premature to say that the town has been taken by the Russians, as Ukrainian army still controls the warehouses located on the northern hill from where it monitors the enemy forces.

Meanwhile, Russian troops advanced on the end of Stupky-Holubovski-2 Botanical Reserve trying to cross the canal on this axis. In addition, Russians were able to take up new positions south of Ivanivske.

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Situation on eastern front: Russian Army failed to consolidate the captured positions north of Vesele ten days ago. On the other hand, troops made new advances along the railway taking control over a series of trenches which are located 2,7 Km from the settlement of Vyimka.

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Situation on Luhansk front: Russian Army continue making advances along the frontline trying to reach Miasozharivka, Stelmakhivka & Andriivka.

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