Vanlok
deus ex machina
- Член од
- 30 мај 2009
- Мислења
- 26.532
- Поени од реакции
- 35.300
![simplicius76.substack.com](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1200,h_600,c_fill,f_jpg,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep,g_auto/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6882750d-b42f-4f18-bb59-976ce92fe3c8_1200x675.jpeg)
Putin's Cabinet Shakeup Stumps Western Intelligentsia
As many had been suspecting for days, Putin initiated a major shakeup in his cabinet.
Добра анализа за промените во владата... Обемен текст и има интересни работи за читање, јас само следново ќе го издвојам:
Dmitry Peskov’s full commentary on the reasons for the appointment of Andrei Belousov as Minister of Defense
![Exclamation mark :exclamation: ❗](https://twemoji.maxcdn.com/2/72x72/2757.png)
![Exclamation mark :exclamation: ❗](https://twemoji.maxcdn.com/2/72x72/2757.png)
![Exclamation mark :exclamation: ❗](https://twemoji.maxcdn.com/2/72x72/2757.png)
![Exclamation mark :exclamation: ❗](https://twemoji.maxcdn.com/2/72x72/2757.png)
...
While Russia has done very well in some sectors since the start of the SMO, in several others it has lagged very badly. For instance, the scaling and commercialization of personnel-based EW systems leaves much to be desired. Most of the systems on the ground are cheap Chinese knockoffs and requisitioned ad hoc, a process that is extremely stale and ineffective, causing the mass deaths of Russian servicemen to enemy drones. Something in this pipeline is in grave need of streamlining, which includes the “localization” that Belousov himself emphasized in the video above.
...
The new Russian minister of defense, Andrey Belousov, is a practicing Orthodox Christian. He has personally donated to & built a monastery in the Vladimir Oblast: “Russia must become the guardian of the traditions of Christian civilisation. The era of globalism is over.”
...
Since the beginning, Putin has been slowly clearing out the calcified structures, upwardly promoting and mobilizing deserving men to replace the hangers-on from the dusty ages of long time past.
...
this offensive has been marked by a specific emphasis on the fact that Russian forces are utilizing effective combined arms tactics, with several frontline reports making pains to note that artillery and drone utilization is good, communications are notably coordinated and running fluidly, etc. This is contrary to many other fronts like Kherson where complaints about coordination between those mentioned aspects abound. It seems whoever is running the ‘Northern Wind’, as some are calling it, is doing a very competent job thus far.
...
The first consequences of the breakthrough of Russian troops into the Kharkov region. Military chronicles report that the Ukrainian Armed Forces withdrew part of the units of the 42nd Mechanized Infantry Brigade from the front near Chasov Yar and hastily transferred Troops to Volchansk, fearing further expansion of the bridgehead and the introduction of larger Forces of the Russian Armed Forces.
...
As well as Forbes:
![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0bb691dc-9fd7-4053-9adb-bef447869b27_919x808.png)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/05/12/ukraines-cv90-fighting-vehicles-are-rolling-into-vovchansk-their-crews-expecting-a-russian-invasion-from-the-north/
Meanwhile, AFU sources themselves report that Russia only started off utilizing 7% of its regional forces, subsequently increasing it to 15%—which should give an idea of what’s yet to come:The dilemma, for Ukrainian leaders, is that a feint can turn into an offensive with little notice—as long as the Russians can spare the forces from their operations in the east. “It is a shrewd approach, considering Ukraine's manpower constraints,” Finnish analyst Joni Askola wrote.
The Ukrainian military isn’t taking chances. Elements of several brigades, including the 59th Motorized Brigade and the 92nd Assault Brigade, are already in Vovchansk—or on the way. Notably, the 92nd Assault Brigade is bringing its best CV90 infantry fighting vehicles.
Ukrainian commander in chief Oleksandr Syrskyi insisted his troops would deploy and redeploy to match the Russians’ moves. “We are aware of the enemy's plans and can respond flexibly to all of his actions,” Syrskyi said.
Here’s a visualization of the fights from one of the AFU units in the forests near Volchansk as they get shelled by Russian artillery:Ukraine post: There is a lot of pressure on the boys. Deep is very difficult, Vovchansk is under control, but there are attempts to break through. The occupier is pulling more and more forces. If yesterday 7-8% of the total number of forces deployed in the operational area were involved, today it is up to 15%. A lot of enemy equipment was burned. But they will not stop until they are completely destroyed.
Spokesman for Ukraine’s battlegroup Khortitsa, Nazar Voloshin, states Russia launched 22+ guided bombs on Volchansk today:
ISW also confirmed Russian advances and the AFU’s complaints:
![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa71588b7-91c7-410d-8f79-caabf6362749_744x508.png)
There continue to be many other Russian advances on other fronts as well, but we can cover those next time.